18/05/2024
Before the Dortmund-Darmstadt match, it’s worth looking at the statistics and expert analysis to draw some informed conclusions about the outcome.
Dortmund:
- This season Dortmund have shown strong form at home, with a significant goal difference (64 goals scored and 43 goals conceded). Outstanding players like Niclas Füllkrug and Donyell Malen, who have scored 12-12 goals, play an important role in the team’s attacking power.
- The xG (expected goals) statistic of the team is 61.0, which is higher than the number of goals actually scored, which could suggest that they could have been more efficient in taking advantage of their chances.
- Their defensive indicators, although not the best, seem to be solid based on goals scored and xGA (expected goals allowed), which is 51.7.
Darmstadt:
- Darmstadt had a less productive season, scoring fewer goals and conceding more than Dortmund. Players such as Tim Skarke and Luca Pfeiffer have been outstanding, but the overall picture is still more modest.
- The team has an xG of 41.7, which is lower than Dortmund’s, and an xGA of 44.1, which is lower than Dortmund’s, suggesting that they could be stronger defensively.
Analysis and betting tips:
- Dortmund to win: Given Dortmund’s strong home performance and Darmstadt’s weaker defensive record, Dortmund’s win is a clear low-risk bet (Low risk).
- More than 2.5 goals: Dortmund’s attacking power and Darmstadt’s defensive weaknesses mean that more goals are likely (Low risk)
Interesting facts from the expert analysis:
- Dortmund have at times tended to give in to pressure against bigger teams, but they can play with more confidence against statistically weaker opponents like Darmstadt.
- Darmstadt’s attempts to stabilise their defence could make for an interesting encounter, especially against Dortmund’s attackers.
Based on the above analysis, Dortmund’s home advantage and stronger attacking line against Darmstadt’s weaker defence ensures that the proposed betting tips are realistic and backed.