14/04/2024
Based on my analysis, I think Roma will be the likely winner or a draw in the upcoming Serie A match. I think this based on the following aspects:
- Statistical analysis of Udinese vs Roma: Roma’s attacking power seems to be stronger than Udinese. Romelu Lukaku and Paulo Dybala have been outstanding performers so far this season, with Dybala registering 12 goals and 8 assists, while Lukaku has contributed 10 goals to the team’s success. In contrast, Udinese’s top scorer Lorenzo Lucca has only scored 7 goals. This is a significant difference, suggesting that Roma’s attacking play is more effective.
- Defence and goalkeepers: Udinese goalkeepers Marco Silvestri and Maduka Okoye scored more goals than Roma goalkeepers Rui Patrício and Mile Svilar. This is another indicator that points to Roma’s stronger defence. Roma have only scored 1 goal, while Udinese have scored more.
- Form: according to the statistics, Roma are in a more stable form. Udinese have played a lot of draws, which suggests that they will find it difficult to get the win, even if they are able to avoid defeat.
- Impact of key players: Dybala and Lukaku are key players for Roma, while Udinese don’t have strikers of that calibre. Roma’s midfielders like Bryan Cristante and Lorenzo Pellegrini are also involved in more goals and assists than Udinese’s players in the same position.
As for the number of goals, my analysis suggests that there will probably be more than 1.5 goals in the match. Roma are averaging more than 1 goal per game and Udinese’s defence doesn’t seem strong enough to prevent this effectively. Furthermore, Udinese’s goal difference and their xG (expected goals) against their opponents suggest that they have defensive problems.
In terms of betting advice, a less risky tip could be “Roma win or draw”, “both teams score”, as Udinese have been able to score in most of their games and Roma’s defence is not without flaws. ‘Over 1.5 goals’ could also be a good bet, given the teams’ past performances and the fact that both teams tend to score more goals than they would like.
Overall, Roma’s better form and stronger attacking capabilities make them the favourites to win, but Udinese could surprise, especially if they take advantage of home advantage and even get a draw.