13/04/2024
To analyse the match between Stuttgart and Frankfurt, it is first worth looking at the most important statistics and their impact on the expected result. I do not have the statistics of the Frankfurt team yet, so I will base my analysis on the Stuttgart data.
1) The winner of the match and the reasoning
Stuttgart have a significant goal difference and scoring record in the Bundesliga this season, which is a testament to their strong attacking play and solid defence. The team’s goals scored (64) and high average xG (Expected Goals) suggest that they are effective in attack. Serhou Guirassy, who has scored 24 goals, is outstanding. This efficiency, in line with the form the team is showing, could be an advantage against Frankfurt. In addition, Stuttgart are playing at home, which further boosts their chances given their strong performances in home matches (e.g. recent 5-2 win over RB Leipzig).
2) Number of goals expected in the match (more or less than 1.5 goals)
Stuttgart have scored a high number of goals in their games so far, which shows that the team is playing attacking football. Based on the average goals scored and received, as well as the xG values, it is expected that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in this match. Especially considering the form of Guirassy and other attackers like Deniz Undav, who are capable of disrupting Frankfurt’s defence.
3) Low-risk betting suggestions for the match
- Both teams score goals: Based on Stuttgart’s games so far and Frankfurt’s overall performance, both teams are likely to score.
- More than 1.5 goals: as I explained earlier, the offensive orientation of the teams is likely to result in a high number of goals.
- Home win or draw: Stuttgart’s strong home performance makes this a relatively safe bet.
Summary
Stuttgart’s strong attacking form and solid defensive statistics, as well as their home performance, give them the advantage against Frankfurt. Based on the statistics detailed above and the team’s performance so far, a positive result is expected for Stuttgart, especially in attack.