03/04/2024
The analysis of the meeting between Moreirense and Vizela was mainly based on statistical data and expert analysis. Based on statistics and form, I paid particular attention to performances, outstanding players and possible absentees, as well as the offensive and defensive capabilities of the teams.
Key statistics and trends
Moreirense:
- Goals scored and goals conceded: Moreirense have scored 32 goals and conceded 34 in 31 games. This statistic indicates a low goal difference in both directions.
- Key players: André Luis and João Pedro Gomes Camacho were outstanding in attack, while goalkeeper Kewin made a significant impact on defence.
- Form: the team’s form has been inconsistent, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Vizela:
- Goals scored and goals conceded: Vizela scored 28 goals and conceded 61 in 31 games, indicating a particularly high number of goals conceded.
- Key figures: Samuel Essende is the team’s top scorer with 15 goals, while goalkeeper Fabijan Buntić has played a key role in several games but has been conceding a lot of goals.
- Form: In their last five matches, they have managed just one win and one draw, with three defeats.
Analysis and tips:
With Moreirense’s more stable defence and Vizela’s very poor defensive record, it is likely that Moreirense will be able to score. Despite Vizela’s high goalscoring rate, the team’s defensive weaknesses are prominent, which could give Moreirense an advantage.
Tip:
- Recommended bet: Moreirense win or draw (Double odds)
- Risk: Low
Justification:
Based on the statistics and the current form of the teams, Moreirense is in a better position, especially defensively. Vizela’s high number of goals conceded is a major concern, so the low-risk tip is a win or draw for Moreirense. On the number of goals, Moreirense’s low goal rate and Vizela’s defensive problems mean that a ‘3.5 goals under’ tip could be justified as a medium-risk tip, but ‘win or draw’ is the safer bet.