13/04/2024
An analysis of the match between Mönchengladbach and Dortmund reveals the following:
1) The winning team: analysis shows that Dortmund are more likely to win or draw. From a statistical point of view and based on the individual performances of the players, they are a stronger team. Dortmund are in better form this season, they are scoring more goals and the team’s defence looks stronger based on goal difference and expected goals (xG). Dortmund strikers such as Niclas Füllkrug and Julian Brandt are putting in outstanding performances, which could be a significant advantage.
2) The number of goals: the match is likely to produce more than one and a half goals. Up until now, matches between the two teams have often been goal-rich. Dortmund have scored an average of almost two goals per game, while Mönchengladbach have also been able to score, although they have conceded more goals. Given the statistics and the style of play of the teams, we are likely to see at least two goals.
3) Low risk betting tips: the least risky bet could be “both teams will score”, as both teams have strengths in attack and weaknesses in defence. Another relatively safe bet could be “more than one and a half goals” in the match, as statistically both teams tend to score and score more goals. Asian handicap’ bets could also be interesting, especially if Dortmund get a slight edge, given that they are the favourites.
These conclusions are supported by past team performances, player form and data on expected goals (xG) and goals scored (xGA).