04/05/2024
To analyse the meeting between Metz and Rennes, I will first look at the statistics and preliminary analysis. Based on their current form and results, Metz are facing a serious challenge, having lost several games this season. Based on the matches played so far, the team has significant problems in defence, which is reflected in the high number of goals conceded. Moreover, the attacking section does not seem to be strong enough either, scoring only sporadically.
Rennes, on the other hand, has a much more stable performance. Although they are not among the top teams in the league, they have achieved better results than Metz. According to statistical analysis, Rennes are outstandingly better in possession and in the formation of attacks, which is also reflected in the higher xG (expected goals) values. These data suggest that Rennes can dominate on the pitch, especially in midfield where Metz is weaker.
In addition, Metz goalkeeper Alexandre Oukidja has had to concede a lot of goals this season, while Rennes’ goalkeeping looks much more solid thanks to the good form of Steve Mandanda. Mandanda’s experience and presence could be an important factor, especially in important saves.
Based on the previous meetings between the teams, where Rennes won 5-1, it can be concluded that the defensive weaknesses of Metz and the attacking strength of Rennes could come to the fore again.
Considering the weaker defence of Metz and the stronger attacking play of Rennes, I recommend the following bet:
1) Rennes to win or draw – Low risk: Given Rennes’ better form and Metz’s defensive problems, it is likely that Rennes will be able to score in this match.
2) More than 1.5 goals in the match – Low risk: Based on previous meetings and current form, it is likely that more goals could be scored, especially by Rennes.
3) For the risk takers, I suggest the “more than 2.5 goals in the match” option, warning that this is a higher risk but odds-on bet.
Overall, based on Rennes’ more solid performance and Metz’ defensive mistakes, these betting tips seem justified considering the risks.