02/05/2024
Analysis Marseille vs Atalanta BC
The first thing to point out is that Marseille and Atalanta are meeting for the first time in a European Cup series, which makes the calculations unpredictable. It will be important for both teams to gain an advantage in the first leg, especially for Marseille who are playing at home.
Statistical Approach
Marseille are currently showing a varied form in the Europa League, typically under a lot of pressure, but their recent 1-0 win against Benfica showed their resilience. Statically, they have a goals per game average of 2.17, which is higher than Atalanta’s average of 1.8. However, there is no significant difference in terms of assists (18 Marseille, 12 Atalanta) and corner kicks (64 Marseille, 57 Atalanta).
Atalanta, on the other hand, have better defensive indicators, with only 0.7 goals per game and more turnovers (474 compared to Marseille’s 431), indicating that they have strong control at both ends of the pitch.
Analysis
It is a fact that Marseille are in poor form at home and the team is plagued by injuries. However, the fact that they managed to win their last Europa League match despite the dramatic circumstances is a sign of the team’s knowledge and improving mental state.
For Atalanta, the fact that they have gone unbeaten in their last nine European away games is a huge confidence booster. In addition, the Italian side’s form is on the rise, with a solid performance in their last matches.
Betting tips
- Less than 3.5 goals scored per match – Low risk
Atalanta’s defence is extremely strong, they concede few goals and Marseille could be more cautious at home in their first match. Given the statistics and the current form of the teams, this could be a solid bet. - Draw or Atalanta win – Low risk
Considering Atalanta’s solid form and Marseille’s often uncertain home form, this is the recommended tip. Atalanta’s away record and the team’s current momentum underpin this choice.
Summary
Taking into account the statistics and the current situation of the teams, as well as the lack of key players on Marseille’s side, the forecast is more favourable for Atalanta. The betting tips reflect a realistic assessment of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses, while minimizing risks.