14th March, 2024
Attention! The accuracy of predictions for knockout stage rematches – including this prediction – is generally lower, around 65-70% instead of the usual 90%. Therefore, for those who prioritize safety with typical prediction accuracy, we recommend betting on weekend matches in national leagues as usual.
When analyzing the second leg of the Europa League Round of 16 match between Bayer Leverkusen and Qarabag FK, it is necessary to consider numerous statistical data and expert opinions to determine the likely winner, the expected number of goals, and whether there will be more or fewer than 1.5 goals scored in the match.
Firstly, Leverkusen is in outstanding form, as reflected in their statistics: 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, scoring 21 goals and conceding only 5. The team’s high possession rate of 60.43% and passing accuracy of 90.86% demonstrate their dominance, and it is noteworthy that they score more than 3 goals on average per match. In contrast, Qarabag’s statistics are more modest: 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 16. The team’s possession rate is 46.78%, and their passing accuracy is 81.34%, significantly lower than that of Leverkusen.
Based on expert analysis, Leverkusen ended the first match in Baku against Qarabag with a 2-2 draw, suggesting that they can exert even more pressure on the Azerbaijani team in the return match at their own stadium. Considering the statements of coach Xabi Alonso and the team’s performance to date, Leverkusen is expected to be a strong contender for advancement, especially given that they have been unbeaten at the BayArena in the Europa League, including a 5-1 victory over Qarabag in October.
Considering the team news, both teams have missing players, but Leverkusen has better-quality substitutes, which further increases their advantage. It’s important to note that Leverkusen’s attack-oriented style of play and Qarabag’s relatively weak defense – which has conceded more goals than it has scored this season – will likely result in more goals for Leverkusen.
1) Based on my analysis, Bayer Leverkusen is closer to winning this match. Taking into account the statistics, the form of the teams, and the expert analysis, Leverkusen has a strong advantage both in attack and defense, and home field further strengthens their position.
2) The match is expected to be high-scoring, considering Leverkusen’s high goal-scoring average and Qarabag’s weaker defensive statistics. Based on expert predictions and previous encounters between the teams, 3-4 goals are expected in the match.
3) Based on the analysis, it is likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match. Leverkusen’s attacking potential, Qarabag’s previous defensive shortcomings, and the previous encounters between the two teams make this scenario the most probable.
In summary, Bayer Leverkusen has the advantage over Qarabag FK based on statistics, the form of the teams, and expert analyses. We can expect a goal-rich match where Leverkusen utilizes its attacking power and the advantage of playing at home.