DORTMUND – PSG

01/05/2024

Analysis of the Champions League semi-final between Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain:

Statistical comparison of teams

Borussia Dortmund:

• The team’s performance so far seems to be solid, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded per game.
• Their ball possession is relatively low, at 48.7%, suggesting that they can be strong in quick counter attacks.
• They have an excellent passing accuracy (82.7%), which shows the precision of their game.

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG):

• PSG have a higher goals against average (1.9) and a slightly higher goals against average (1.3), indicating a stronger attacking spirit and a less solid defence.
• Their outstanding 60.4% possession and 89.3% passing accuracy indicate that they control the flow of the game and can act with precision.

Pre-match expert opinions

Analysts highlight Dortmund’s home record in the Champions League, where they have won 6 of their last 10 matches. PSG, on the other hand, are in exceptional form away from home, winning 12 of their last 15 meetings.

Analysis and betting tips

1. Number of goals (Under/Over):
   Given the offensive strength of both teams and their recent performances, the match is likely to see more than 2.5 goals scored. Both teams have outstanding attackers like Mbappe and Fullkrug who score goals regularly.
   Tip: Goals over 2.5
   Risk: Medium!
   
   
2. Asian handicap:
   Based on Dortmund’s strength at home, and given PSG’s strong away form, an Asian handicap that gives Dortmund the edge could be a good choice. This is especially attractive when you consider Dortmund’s previous results against PSG.
   Tip: Dortmund +0.5 Asian handicap
   Risk: Low
3. Draw or win at home:
   Backing Dortmund, given their home record and PSG’s sometimes inconsistent away performance, a home win or draw is the logical choice.
   Prediction: Dortmund win or draw
   Risk: Low

Concluding thoughts

Both statistical and human analyses show that this match could be exciting and goal-rich due to the attacking capabilities of both teams. Dortmund’s strong home record and PSG’s excellent away form could predict an evenly matched, high-scoring match.