March 12, 2024
Match Winner
Based on statistics and expert previews, Barcelona is the favorite, especially at home, where they are extremely strong. Despite injuries affecting the team, Barcelona has the depth and quality to compensate for missing key players. The form of Robert Lewandowski, who with 12 goals is one of the top scorers in the Champions League knockout stages, could be crucial. After the 1-1 draw in the first leg, Barcelona has the advantage, considering how strong they are at home.
However, Napoli should not be underestimated, especially with Victor Osimhen and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who are capable of scoring at any moment. Napoli’s form under Calzona is improving, which makes the outcome uncertain, but Barcelona is the favorite.
Number of Goals in the Match
Both teams aim for attacking football and have the ability to score goals, so we can expect several goals. Barcelona has averaged close to two goals per match in the Champions League, while Napoli has averaged 1.58. Considering both teams need to win to progress, we are likely to see an open game, creating more opportunities for scoring.
More or Less than 1.5 Goals in the Match?
Considering the teams’ attacking styles and the result of the first leg, it is likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored. Both Barcelona and Napoli have the ability to score multiple goals, making a high-scoring match the more probable scenario.
Summary
Overall, Barcelona has the edge in terms of progression, but Napoli could cause an upset, especially if Osimhen and Kvaratskhelia capitalize on their chances. The key to the match could be in midfield, where Barcelona is grappling with injuries while Napoli tries to exploit this weakness. Expect a high-scoring encounter where both teams will be able to find the back of the net.
Prediction Strength: 8/10