16 March, 2024
Given the upcoming Basque derby between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés, it’s worth examining the performance, statistics, and expert opinions on the match. The following analysis considers these statistical data and pre-match news to explore the key aspects of the encounter.
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao currently ranks 5th in LaLiga with 15 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses. The team has scored 48 goals, averaging over 1.7 goals per match. The attack, led by Guruzeta and the Williams brothers (Inaki and Nico), is particularly dangerous, as evidenced by their goal count. Their home form is impressive, having earned 33 points in 14 matches, suggesting they are a formidable opponent at San Mamés.
Alavés
Alavés is in 13th place, with 8 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses. The team scored fewer goals (26) and conceded more (33) than Athletic, raising concerns about the efficiency of their defense and attack. Samu Omorodion stands out with 8 goals, proving he could be one of Alavés’ main threats during the match.
Key Elements and Statistics
- Attacking Power: Athletic Bilbao shows a stronger attack, scoring more goals and assists than Alavés.
- Defensive Performance: Both teams have conceded a similar number of goals, but Athletic has made better use of their home field.
- Form: Athletic Bilbao is in better form than Alavés, especially at home, where they are extremely strong.
- Historical Precedents: Athletic has beaten Alavés in their most recent meetings, which could provide a psychological advantage.
Analysis and Prediction
1) Who will win the match and why?
Athletic Bilbao is favored to win, mainly due to their home performance and attacking strength. The team has maintained pressure on the upper half of the table and will be motivated to continue their good form in La Liga. Alavés has struggled in away matches, and although Samu Omorodion might pose a threat, Bilbao’s defense and midfield are likely capable of handling Alavés’ attacks.
2) Will there be more or less than 1.5 goals in the match, and why?
It’s likely that the match will see more than 1.5 goals. Athletic Bilbao’s attacking force, especially through Guruzeta and the Williams brothers, promises effectiveness. Alavés’ defensive issues further increase the likelihood of goals. Based on previous encounters and current forms, Athletic is poised to exploit Alavés’ weaknesses, likely resulting in multiple goals.
Summary
Considering all aspects of the match between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés, I predict a victory for Athletic Bilbao or a draw and more than 1.5 goals scored in the match. The home advantage, better attacking statistics, and outcomes of previous meetings all favor Athletic. Alavés needs to improve their away performance and capitalize on their opportunities if they wish to cause an upset with a draw.