ATALANTA – EMPOLI

28/04/2024

Analysis of the match between Atalanta and Empoli taking into account statistics and analysis by human experts:

Characteristics and shape of Atalanta:
Atalanta have shown a strong attacking game this season, with 59 goals scored, an efficiency of 13% of shots. It is important to mention that they have 48 goal scoring passes, which indicates their ability to distribute key passes. Defensively, they recorded 90 saves and 37 goals conceded. However, they have been volatile in Serie A recently, but have been performing well in the Italian Cup and Europa League, indicating the team’s double load. In their last Serie A match, they managed to win, which should give fans cause for optimism.

Characteristics and shape of Empoli:
Empoli have struggled this season, however, scoring just 26 goals, which is only 7% of their shots. Their defensive record is not too bright either, with 48 goals conceded and 118 saves. They have been particularly poor away from home in recent times, going winless in their last three away games. For Empoli, however, the recent win against Napoli should provide a morale boost.

Expert analysis:
Analysis points out that Atalanta are struggling on several fronts, which can be tiring for the team, but their recent cup win and good showing on the international stage is a positive. Empoli’s history shows they have little chance against Atalanta, especially away from home.

Betting tips:

  1. Goal count (Under/Up): Given Atalanta’s attacking strength and Empoli’s weak defence, a goal count above 2.5 seems a good bet, but given Atalanta’s fatigue and Empoli’s potential morale boost, this is considered a medium risk (Medium risk).
  2. Asian Handicap: Atalanta -1 – Atalanta are strong at home and have a statistical advantage, so they are expected to win by at least two goals (Low risk)
  3. Win or Draw: Atalanta win or draw – Given Atalanta’s home strength and Empoli’s poor away form, this tip looks very safe (Low risk)

Interesting facts:

  • Atalanta are doing well in two cup competitions, which could be a motivation for the team.
  • Empoli’s recent away win has given them some confidence, which could have an impact on their game.

Taking these into account, Atalanta are the favourites in this match, but Empoli’s resurgence and potential motivation makes it worth being cautious with higher risk bets. Based on Atalanta’s home advantage and attacking ability, they should be able to beat Empoli, but the recent improvement shown by the visitors will introduce some unpredictability into the outcome of the match.

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