March 7, 2024
In this analysis, we examine the first leg of the Europa League round of 16 match between Roma and Brighton & Hove Albion, considering both teams’ statistics and expert pre-match analyses. Based on the statistics and expert opinions, we aim to provide a well-founded forecast of the expected outcomes.
1) Who will win the match and why?
Comparing the statistics of Roma and Brighton, Roma appears to be the more likely winner. Roma will be playing at home, where they have shown strong performance according to statistics, and they performed better in the Europa League group stage than Brighton. Roma scored 14 goals and conceded only 6, while Brighton scored 10 and conceded 5, suggesting that Roma is more offensive and has a stabler defense. Moreover, Roma has experience in European cups, having played in the Europa League final last year. A close match is expected, with a victory for Roma or a draw.
2) How many goals will be in the match and why?
The match between Roma and Brighton is expected to be close, but Roma’s offensive power and Brighton’s defensive statistics could lead to several goals. Roma averaged 1.75 goals per match, while Brighton averaged 1.67, indicating that both teams are capable of scoring. However, Roma’s defense is stronger, as indicated by the fewer goals conceded. Therefore, 2-3 goals are expected in the match.
3) More or less than 1.5 goals in the match and why?
Based on the teams’ past performance and offensive capabilities, it’s likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match. Both Roma and Brighton have the ability to score, and since both teams will want to gain an advantage in the first match, an attacking spirit is expected, which could result in more goals.
Summary:
Overall, Roma has better chances of winning, considering the home advantage, a stabler defense, and their previous European campaign. Based on the statistics and the current form of the teams, more than 1.5 goals are expected in the match, where Roma can capitalize on their attacking power against Brighton. Nevertheless, Brighton’s performance so far suggests they could cause a surprise, making the match an exciting clash where a victory for Roma is likely, but a draw is also possible.