06/04/2024
Based on my analysis, the match between AC Milan and Lecce offers a strong advantage for AC Milan, considering the form of both teams, their statistics and the historical context of the match.
1) I expect AC Milan to win. The main reason for this is that AC Milan are in extremely strong form, with six consecutive wins behind them, and are looking for their first seven consecutive wins since 2006. In contrast, Lecce are fighting against relegation and although they have shown some stability in defence recently, their attacking performance is not up to AC Milan’s level. AC Milan are particularly strong at home, with 10 wins and only two defeats at the San Siro so far this season in Serie A. Moreover, AC Milan have a deeper and better quality squad, which further boosts their chances of winning.
2) Probably more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match. AC Milan have scored 57 goals in 30 games, meaning they average nearly two goals per game, while Lecce’s defence has averaged more than 1.5 goals per game. Considering AC Milan’s attacking prowess, and the fact that Lecce have also been able to score goals this season (albeit fewer than they have been conceding), it is likely that we will see at least two goals a game. AC Milan’s attacking form, particularly the presence of Rafael Leao and Olivier Giroud who have been key to their team’s goal scoring, suggests that AC Milan will be able to score more goals against Lecce.
In conclusion, AC Milan’s statistical advantage, their form and their historic dominance against Lecce indicate that they are the favourites to win this match. Lecce’s defensive improvement is hopeful, but AC Milan’s attacking quality is probably too much of a challenge for them. In terms of goals scored, AC Milan’s attacking potential and Lecce’s defensive weaknesses make it likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored.