Spain – Northern Ireland

08/06/2024, friendly match

Analysis Spain – Northern Ireland

The friendly match between Spain and Northern Ireland could be an interesting one for a number of reasons, especially as Spain are preparing for the European Championship this summer, while Northern Ireland have not qualified for the tournament. Using a combination of statistical data and human expert analysis, we take a detailed look at the outcome of the match.

Statistical Analysis of Spain

1. Player performance:

• Álvaro Morata: scored 4 goals in 9 games, an outstanding attacking performance.
• Mikel Oyarzabal: 4 goals and 2 assists in 8 games, showing versatility and reliability.
• Rodri: A solid performer in the midfield position with 2 goals and 1 assist in 8 games.
• Unai Simón: 3 games without a goal in 6 matches, which suggests a solid defence and a reliable goalkeeping performance.

1. Team performance:

• Spain’s record in friendly matches: 5-0 against Andorra, 3-3 draw against Brazil, 0-1 defeat to Colombia. This shows that they can dominate against weaker opponents but face challenges against stronger teams.

Statistical Analysis of Northern Ireland

1. Player performance:

• Dion Charles: 3 goals in 9 games, one of the best attacking performances in the Northern Ireland team.
• Jonny Evans: Experienced defender who did a solid defensive job in 6 games.
• Conor Bradley: 1 goal in 5 games, which is outstanding in the midfield position.

1. Team performance:

• Northern Ireland’s record in friendly matches: 1-0 win over Scotland, 1-1 draw against Romania. This shows that they are capable of beating mid-table teams.

Correlations and Trends

1. Dominance of Spain:

• The Spanish team’s high level of individual performances and the efficiency of their team play show a clear dominance in the friendly matches. The 5-0 win over Andorra shows their ability to dominate against weaker opponents.

1. Defending Northern Ireland:

• Northern Ireland’s defence is working well, as the 1-0 win against Scotland shows. However, their attacking play is less effective, which limits them against stronger opponents.

1. Motivation and Goals:

• For Spain, this match is the last preparation before the European Championship, so they are expected to take the game seriously.
• For Northern Ireland, friendly matches are an opportunity to develop the team and try out young players, so the result is less important.

Tip Analysis

1. Spain win (Low risk):

• Spain’s statistical superiority and motivation make them the clear favourites to win. The team’s strong attacking line-up, especially given the form of Morata and Oyarzabal, is likely to score more goals.

1. More than 2.5 goals per match (Medium risk):

• Considering the efficiency of Spain’s attacking line and Northern Ireland’s defensive deficiencies, it is likely that at least 3 goals will be scored in the match. The number of goals scored in previous matches confirms this trend.

1. Álvaro Morata scores (Low risk):

• Based on Morata’s current form and the attacking play of the Spanish team, it is likely that Morata will score. Statistics also confirm that Morata is one of the most dangerous strikers in the Spanish team. If the player does not play, this bet will be off and the money returned.

Interesting Facts

• According to experts’ analysis, this is the last chance for Spain to prepare for the European Championship, so they are expected to be at their best.
• Northern Ireland have shown an improving form recently, especially their defence has stabilised, but their attacking play is still a weak point.

Conclusion

In conclusion, based on the statistics and expert analysis, Spain is the favourite. Low-risk picks include a Spain win, more than 2.5 goals and a goal from Álvaro Morata. However, based on the Northern Ireland team’s defence, it is worth bearing in mind that anything can happen in a friendly match, especially if the Spanish team makes several substitutions during the match.