07/06/2024, friendly match
The match between Romania and Liechtenstein could be an exciting one in more ways than one, especially in the light of statistics and expert analysis. Below I will analyse the match in detail, taking into account both teams’ statistics, player performances, motivations and expected line-ups.
Romania Statistical Analysis
Romania have shown strong form in their European Championship qualifying campaign, finishing the group stage unbeaten, conceding just five goals. Key players in the squad, such as Nicolae Stanciu and Denis Man, were outstanding. Stanciu scored 3 goals in 13 games and was a dominant figure in midfield. Denis Man has also scored 2 goals in 7 games and represents a significant attacking potential.
In defence, Radu Drăgușin and Andrei Burcă have been solid, both playing in 12 matches and playing an important role in the team’s success in conceding just five goals in qualifying. In goal, Horaţiu Moldovan has scored 4 goals in 9 matches, giving him a goals scored per match ratio of 0.50.
Liechtenstein Statistical Analysis
Liechtenstein were significantly worse in the European Championship qualifiers, losing all their matches and scoring just one goal, while conceding 28 goals. Goalkeeper Benjamin Büchel has scored 28 goals in 12 games, giving him a goals scored per game ratio of 2.80. The only goal scorer in the qualifiers was Sandro Wolfinger, who plays in midfield.
In defence, Lars Traber and Maximilian Göppel played a lot, but could not prevent the large number of goals they conceded. The attacking play was almost completely ineffective, which is a major problem for the team.
Expert Analysis and Expected Positions
According to experts, Romania will make changes ahead of the match, especially in the forward line, where George Pușcaș is expected to start. Nicolae Stanciu and Denis Man will also play important roles in midfield and attack.
Liechtenstein is also making changes, but the team will focus on defence. Dennis Salanović, who has made 59 appearances for the national team, is expected to play in the forward line.
My tips for Low and Medium Risk
- Asian Handicap: Romania -1.75 (Low Risk): Considering Romania’s strong form and Liechtenstein’s weak defence, this seems like a safe bet. Romania is a much stronger team and they are playing at home, which further increases their chances (odds: 1.22).
- Less than 4.5 goals per match (Medium risk!): Although Romania is expected to dominate the match, their last two meetings against Liechtenstein ended only 2-0. Experts are not expecting a particularly high goal total either (odds: 1.37).
- Both teams to score: NO (Low risk): Liechtenstein’s attacking play has been very weak recently and Romania’s defence is very strong. (odds: 1.25) Liechtenstein has been very poor in recent Romania’s offensive performance and the team has been very poor in recent matches.
Motivations and Other Considerations
For Romania, this match is the last opportunity to prepare for the European Championship, so the players will be motivated to finish their preparations in good form. For Liechtenstein, on the other hand, the match is more of an opportunity for young players to try out and gain experience.
To sum up, based on the statistics and expert analysis, a win for Romania is likely, with few goals scored and probably no goals scored. These picks are low to medium risk and have a good chance of being correct during the match.