15/05/2024
After reviewing the current match statistics and analysts’ articles, I have prepared a detailed analysis of the match between Rayo Vallecano and Granada. Below I have made my recommendations based on both the statistics and the key points of human analysis.
Match Analysis
Overview of Statistical Data
Rayo Vallecano:
- In 35 games, the team scored 27 goals and conceded 43 goals, which translates to an average of 0.77 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded per game.
- Their xG (expected goals) indicator is 37.5, which should have given them more goals than the 27 they actually scored.
- Defensively, they conceded 43 goals, while their xGA (expected goals allowed) was 41.2, which means that the defence performed a bit weaker than expected.
- Top scorers include Álvaro García with 6 goals and Isaac Palazón with 4.
Granada:
- In 35 games, the team scored 33 goals and conceded 66 goals, which translates to an average of 0.94 goals scored and 1.89 goals conceded per game.
- Their xG is 38.3, while their xGA is 55.9, suggesting that they are underperforming on both offense and defense.
- Top scorers were Myrto Uzuni with 11 goals and Bryan Zaragoza with 6 goals.
Human Analysis Interesting Facts
Analysts point out that Rayo Vallecano are more solid at home, while Granada are struggling to score away from home. In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while Granada have suffered 5 defeats.
Tip Recommendations
- Final result Tip:
- Tip: Rayo Vallecano win or draw
- Risk: Low
- Explanation: Rayo Vallecano are more stable at home, while Granada are poor away. Based on statistics and human analysis, Rayo Vallecano are the more likely to score.
- Number of goals (Under/Over):
- Prediction: number of goals under 3.5
- Risk: Moderate Medium
- Explanation: both teams have scored few goals in recent games and their defence is not very strong, but the underperformance of their attacking lines means that fewer goals are likely.
- Yellow Pages Number:
- Tip: More than 3.5 yellow cards
- Risk: Low
- Explanation: both teams play aggressive defence, which can result in a lot of yellow cards. Rayo Vallecano have accumulated 101 yellow cards so far, while Granada have 88.
Detailed explanation
Rayo Vallecano Analysis
Rayo Vallecano’s strength is evident on home soil, where they have a more stable performance. The team’s xG ratio (37.5) is higher than their actual goalscoring (27), suggesting that they create more chances but fail to convert them into goals. They are also underperforming defensively, conceding more goals than their xGA would warrant.
Key players:
- Álvaro García: 6 goals and 1 assist, the most dangerous player in the forward line.
- Isaac Palazón: 4 goals and 1 assist, important player in the attack.
Granada Analysis
Granada have a poor away record and their defence is also weak, as shown by the number of goals conceded (66). Their xGA (55.9) is high, which means that their defence is underperforming. Their offensive line is not very strong either, although Myrto Uzuni and Bryan Zaragoza are performing relatively well.
Key players:
- Myrto Uzuni: 11 goals, the team’s top scorer.
- Bryan Zaragoza: 6 goals and 2 assists, important player in the attack.
Summary
Based on statistics and human analysis, Rayo Vallecano are the favourites to score at home against Granada. The goal count is expected to be low and there will be a lot of yellow cards in the match. The proposed picks are low to medium risk, so they promise a more certain result.