European Championship, 2024.06.25
Analysis Based on Statistical Data and Expert Articles
Below, I provide a detailed analysis combining statistical data and expert articles to find the connections and trends for the upcoming Netherlands vs. Austria European Championship match.
Netherlands Statistical Analysis
Netherlands statistics during the 2024 European Championship:
- Goals and Attacks: The Dutch team scored 2 goals and conceded 1 in the first two matches. Their xG (expected goals) value is 1.9, while their xGA (expected goals against) value is 2.7, indicating some luck in their defense.
- Player Performance: Cody Gakpo and Wout Weghorst both scored 1 goal, standing out in the attacking statistics. Gakpo registered 1.59 shots per 90 minutes, while Weghorst was effective despite having less playing time.
- Passes and Possession: Virgil van Dijk and Stefan de Vrij excelled in defensive passes with over 90% passing accuracy. The team has an overall pass accuracy of 86.5%.
- Defense: Nathan Aké and Stefan de Vrij were the most active in defense, with 7 and 5 successful tackles.
Austria Statistical Analysis
Austria statistics during the 2024 European Championship:
- Goals and Attacks: The Austrian team scored 3 goals and conceded 2. Their xG value is 2.9, while their xGA is 3.6, indicating closely contested matches.
- Player Performance: Christoph Baumgartner and Marko Arnautović each scored a goal. Baumgartner registered 1.59 shots and 0.53 xG per 90 minutes.
- Passes and Possession: Nicolas Seiwald and Stefan Posch excelled in passing, with the former having 92.5% and the latter 74.5% accuracy.
- Defense: Kevin Danso and Philipp Mwene stood out in defensive statistics with 4 and 6 successful tackles.
Expert Analysis
Experts suggest that both Netherlands and Austria are capable of strong attacking play, but may have weaknesses in defense. They highlight that the Netherlands relies mainly on quick attacks and crosses from the wings, while Austria focuses more on midfield playmaking.
Comparison of Players and Formations
Based on expected lineups, the Netherlands will likely play in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Virgil van Dijk and Stefan de Vrij in defense, and Cody Gakpo and Memphis leading the attacks. Austria’s 4-2-3-1 formation builds on the attacks of Baumgartner and Arnautović.
Betting Tips with Low and Medium Risk
Low-Risk Tips
- Under 3.5 goals in the match: Both teams’ defenses are not perfect, but based on statistics, not too many goals are expected. (Low risk)
- Netherlands to take over 4.5 corners: Netherlands creates many attacking opportunities, leading to corners. Statistics show they have taken several corners in previous matches, especially against Poland. (Low risk)
Medium-Risk Tips
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in the match: Both teams tend to collect yellow cards based on previous matches. (Medium risk)
Summary
Based on statistical data and expert analysis, the Netherlands has stronger attacking potential, while Austria’s midfield playmaking and attacking potential are noteworthy. The low and medium-risk betting tips focus on goals and yellow cards, as these are the most predictable elements of the match.