MONACO – NANTES

19/05/2024

Detailed analysis

Monaco team statistics overview

Monaco’s performance in the 2023-2024 season was remarkable, with several key players contributing. The team is currently in second place in Ligue 1, thanks to their 64 points. Below is a detailed analysis of the team’s performance and the statistics of its players.

Goals and attacking play:

• Wissam Ben Yedder is the team’s top scorer with 15 goals, to which he added two assists. His xG (expected goals) is 12.1, which indicates that he is performing above expectations.
• Aleksandr Golovin and Takumi Minamino were also key contributors on offense, both recording 6-6 goals and 6-6 assists. Golovin is particularly noteworthy, as his xG of 3.4 suggests he scored 3 more goals than the data expected him to.
• The team has scored a total of 62 goals this season, which translates to 1.88 goals per game, while their opponents have scored 40 goals against them.

Defence and goalkeeping performance:

• Philipp Köhn has a GA90 (Goals scored per game) of 1.45 in 22 games and has finished 5 times without a goal scored.
• A key figure in defence, Guillermo Maripán, played 19.6 games and scored 1 goal. He was an important player in the consolidation of the defence.
• The team’s defensive stats are also remarkable, as opponents have scored only 42.5 xG against them, which is lower than the team’s xG.

Passing and ball possession:

• Youssouf Fofana passed 81.2% of 1778 pass attempts with 81.2% accuracy and contributed 192 progressive passes to the attack.
• Wilfried Singo also excelled in the passing game, with a 90.7% passing accuracy and 123 progressive passes.
• The team averaged 25,057 metres passing, which shows that they play a dynamic and forward-looking game.

Nantes team statistics overview

Nantes are currently in the lower regions of Ligue 1, which is understandable given their performance and statistics.

Goals and attacking play:

• Mostafa Mohamed is the most scored player in the team with 8 goals and 2 assists. His xG value is 7.8, which is the same as his actual performance.
• Moses Simon is also noteworthy, registering 3 goals and 5 assists to go with a 7.0 xG+xAG.
• The team scored a total of 30 goals, which translates to just 0.91 goals per game compared to 1.42 goals per game for their opponents.

Defence and goalkeeping performance:

• Alban Lafont is the team’s number one goalkeeper, he has played in 27 games and has a GA90 of 1.46.
• Jean-Charles Castelletto is the mainstay of the defence, conceding 0.6 xG in 28 games, a relatively low figure.
• However, the defence is vulnerable, as reflected by the 46 goals conceded and the 36.6 xG of the opponents.

Passing and ball possession:

• Pedro Chirivella is one of the team’s most reliable players, with 192 progressive passes and 81.2% passing accuracy.
• The team averaged 213,996 metres passing, which indicates that although they try a lot, the effectiveness of their attacks is below expectations.

Correlations and trends

Monaco’s dominance is statistically backed up, while Nantes are more defensive. Monaco’s attacking players are in outstanding form, especially Wissam Ben Yedder, who is the driving force in the team’s attack. Given Nantes’ weaker defence and low scoring ability, a win for Monaco is likely.

Tip recommendations

1. Monaco win (low risk):

• Monaco are a stronger team both statistically and formally, while Nantes’ defence and attack are weaker.
• Monaco’s attacking players, especially Ben Yedder, are in excellent form.

1. Wissam Ben Yedder scores a goal (medium risk):

• Based on Ben Yedder’s current form and statistics, he is very likely to score.
• Nantes defence is vulnerable, which increases the chances of scoring.

1. More than 1.5 goals per match (low risk):

• Monaco’s attacking play is strong and Nantes’ defence often concedes a goal.
• Based on the past matches, Monaco tend to score more goals.

1. More than 2.5 goals per match (medium risk):

• Monaco’s attacking play is strong and Nantes’ defence often concedes a goal.
• Based on the past matches, Monaco tend to score more goals.

Conclusion

The match between Monaco and Nantes is likely to be dominated by Monaco, especially because of their attacking play. Based on the statistics, a win for Monaco and a goal for Ben Yedder can be considered a low to medium risk bet. Nantes’ weak defence and low scoring record are further arguments in favour of these picks.