05/05/2024
When analysing Liverpool vs Tottenham, it’s worth looking at the statistics of both teams, the form of their players and the trends of the last matches.
Liverpool characteristics and statistics:
Liverpool have been effective so far this season, led by Mohamed Salah, who has scored 17 goals and provided a further 9 assists. His presence on the pitch always has a significant impact on the team’s performance. The play of him and Luis Díaz (8 goals, 5 assists) could be key. Liverpool typically have a high xG (expected goals) score, which indicates that they create a lot of chances, as evidenced by their 77 goals scored during the season.
Tottenham characteristics and statistics:
Tottenham have been less consistent this season, but Son Heung-min has been a standout with 16 goals and 9 assists. The team’s defensive indicators are not as impressive as Liverpool’s, and the number of goals conceded (51) is higher than the number of goals scored (62). This could suggest that their defence is vulnerable, especially against a strong attacking game.
Analysis and Risk Analysis:
- Low Risk (Number of goals): The match is likely to result in more than 1.5 goals. Liverpool have a strong goal-scoring ability at home and although Tottenham’s defence is weaker, they are capable of scoring goals. This is considered a low-risk bet.
- Low Risk Tip (Double Chance): Liverpool or Draw. Liverpool’s home form is strong and Tottenham’s away performance is not convincing enough to expect them to win at Anfield. This also qualifies as a low-risk bet.
Trends
- Liverpool: higher ball collection rate and better xG values, which tend to improve even more at home.
- Tottenham: Lower xG ratio and higher number of goals scored, especially away.
Interesting facts from the analyses:
Expert analysis highlights Liverpool’s attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses in Tottenham’s side, particularly highlighting the form of key players like Salah and Son, which could have a profound impact on the outcome of the match.
In conclusion, based on Liverpool’s home advantage, stronger stats and Tottenham’s inconsistent defence, the above picks are all low risk and justified based on the available data and trends.