European Championship Round of 16, June 29, 2024.
Detailed Analysis and Forecast
The following analysis is based on the statistical data of the Germany-Denmark European Championship match and the analysis of human experts, highlighting the correlations and trends.
Statistical Overview
Germany:
- Form:
- Germany advanced as group leaders with two wins and one draw.
- They have played seven unbeaten matches this year (five wins, two draws).
- They drew their last group match against Switzerland but managed to retain their top position.
- Attacking Power:
- They scored seven goals in their three matches.
- Niclas Fullkrug played a crucial role in the attacks, especially with his equalizing goal against Switzerland.
- Defense:
- Jonathan Tah is suspended, and Antonio Rudiger is injured, though there is still a chance he might play.
- Nico Schlotterbeck can provide defensive stability, but if Rudiger cannot play, Robin Koch or Waldemar Anton might step in.
Denmark:
- Form:
- Denmark finished with three draws in their group.
- They are also unbeaten this year in seven matches, with three wins and four draws.
- Their group was one of the lowest-scoring in history.
- Attacking Power:
- They scored only two goals in the group stage.
- Jonas Wind’s form is questionable, and Andreas Skov Olsen, Kasper Dolberg, or Yussuf Poulsen might take his place.
- Defense:
- Midfielder Morten Hjulmand is suspended, and Christian Norgaard, Mathias Jensen, or Thomas Delaney can fill his spot.
- In defense, the Brentford duo and experienced players like Hojbjerg and Delaney play essential roles.
Analysis and Predictions
- Attacking and Defensive Statistics:
- Germany’s attack was more effective in the group stage, while Denmark showed strength in defense. Germany scored more goals, and their attackers, like Havertz and Fullkrug, are in good form.
- Denmark had difficulty finding the net but maintained draws with stable defense.
- Motivation:
- Germany is playing at home, which gives them extra motivation, especially with the support of their fans.
- Denmark wants to prove themselves against the strong German team and aim to advance while maintaining their unbeaten record.
- Players and Expected Lineups:
- For Germany, Rudiger’s play will be crucial for defense, but if he cannot play, his replacements might give Denmark chances for attacks.
- In Denmark, Wind’s replacement could be a key figure, bringing fresh energy to the attacks.
Betting Tips
Low-Risk Tips:
- Germany to advance (Low Risk), Germany to win in regular time (Slightly higher, but still low risk):
- Germany is in stronger form, playing at home, and their attackers were more effective in the group stage.
- Total goals under 3.5 (Low Risk), under 2.5 (Medium Risk):
- Denmark’s matches have been low-scoring, and Germany’s defense is strong even with some key players missing.
Medium-Risk Tips:
- Number of yellow cards over 3.5 (Medium Risk):
- Both teams are competitive and motivated, and tight matches often bring more yellow cards.
Summary
Based on statistical analysis and expert opinions, Germany enters the field as the stronger team, especially in a home environment. Denmark’s stable defense and low-scoring matches are also noteworthy, but they have been weaker in attack. The safest betting tips focus on Germany’s victory and low total goals, while medium-risk tips focus on the increase in the number of yellow cards.