05/06/2024, friendly match
Based on available statistics and expert analysis, I provide the following detailed analysis of the France vs Luxembourg friendly.
Statistical Analysis of France
France’s current form is strong, as reflected in their UEFA Euro 2024 qualification campaign. They have won 8 of their 10 matches and drawn only 2. Their biggest win came against Gibraltar, 14-0, the biggest French victory in history.
Key player Kylian Mbappé was outstanding with 9 goals and 6 assists in 10 games. Olivier Giroud is also an important player with 4 goals and 1 assist in 10 games. The defence was also solid, especially goalkeeper Mike Maignan, who conceded just 1 goal in 7 games.
Statistical Analysis of Luxembourg
Luxembourg have also shown some progress recently, especially during their League of Nations campaign. In their UEFA Euro 2024 qualification campaign, they have recorded 6 wins and 2 draws, collecting 17 points. Gerson Rodrigues is their most outstanding player, scoring 6 goals in 9 games.
But the defence is weaker than France’s. Goalkeeper Anthony Moris has conceded 21 goals in 12 games, which equates to 1.91 goals per game. The Luxembourg team’s performance has been mixed, especially against stronger opponents like Portugal, from whom they suffered two big defeats (0-6 and 0-9).
Summary of the Expert Analysis
Experts believe France could dominate the match, especially at home. Coach Didier Deschamps might experiment with the line-up, but the quality and depth of the squad will not significantly affect the result. Luxembourg have strengthened, but are still far below the world elite and a match at this level will be a challenge for them.
Recommendations for Recipients
1. France Win (Low Risk)
Risk: Low
France are in strong form and are playing at home. Based on the strength of the team and the statistics, they are the clear favourites to win. Luxembourg’s defence is weaker and they have suffered big defeats against stronger opponents in the past.
Analysis:
- France 8 wins and 2 draws in last 10 matches.
- Mbappé and Giroud are in excellent form.
- Luxembourg have scored 21 goals in their last 12 matches.
2. Over 2.5 Goal (Medium Risk)
Risk: Medium
France’s attacking line is very strong and they have scored more than 2 goals on average in their last 10 matches. Luxembourg’s defence is weak and they often get many goals from stronger teams.
Analysis:
- France scored 14 goals in a match against Gibraltar.
- Luxembourg got 6 goals from Portugal and 9 in the return leg.
- France’s friendly matches often result in a lot of goals.
3. Mbappé scores (Low Risk)
Risk: Low
Please note that if Mbappé does not play in the match for some reason, the stake on this part of the bet will be returned.
Based on Mbappé’s current form and statistics, he has a good chance of scoring. He has scored 9 goals in his last 10 games and scores regularly against teams with weaker defences.
Analysis:
- Mbappé has scored 9 goals in his last 10 games.
- Luxembourg’s defence is weak and they often allow many goals.
- Mbappé also scores often in friendly matches.
Summary
France’s dominance is clear from the statistics and current form. The recommendations are low to medium risk, taking into account the current performance of both teams and the expected line-ups. Based on the analysis, a win for France, more than 3.5 goals and Mbappé’s goal are the safest betting options.