17/05/2024, Serie A, Italy
Based on Fiorentina’s current form and statistical performance, there are several key observations that can help mitigate the risks in terms of betting. Based on the team’s performance so far, several betting opportunities can be highlighted that could be low to medium risk.
1) Total number of goals scored (Low risk):
Fiorentina have averaged more than 1.49 goals per game this season, while their defense has not proven to be as strong, averaging 1.14 goals per game. This trend suggests that matches often end with a high number of goals. In light of this, it may be worth considering a bet of the ‘total goals scored over 1.5’ type, especially against an opponent that produces a similarly high number of goals.
2) Both teams score a goal (Medium risk!):
Based on the analysis of the Fiorentina vs Napoli match, both teams have strong attacking capabilities and both sides have dominant players such as Nicolás González and Victor Osimhen who score regularly. This suggests that a ‘both teams score’ type of bet could be worthwhile, considering that Napoli have also been able to average more than a goal a game.
3) Player based bets (Medium risk!):
Giacomo Bonaventura and Nicolás González have been outstanding this season, registering several goals and assists. Bonaventura is particularly dangerous in midfield, while González stands out in the attacking section. A bet based on a player such as “Bonaventura scores” (goal or assists) or “González directs at least 2 shots on goal” could be a good choice considering their consistent performances.
Based on statistical analysis:
Fiorentina scored 52 goals, while their expected goals (xG) was 48, suggesting that they were effective in taking advantage of their chances. A comparison of the opponent’s (Napoli) defensive statistics and Fiorentina’s attacking strength suggests that Fiorentina should be able to score goals in this match.
Other considerations:
Injuries and suspensions are important to consider as they can have a significant impact on team performance. Based on current information, all key players are available, which should guarantee a solid performance.
Summary:
The match between Fiorentina and Napoli looks promising in terms of goals, given both teams’ attacking capabilities and statistical performances this season. The above suggestions offer low to medium risk betting options that take into account the teams’ current form and statistics. We would like to point out that betting on medium-risk picks is recommended only on the basis of individual judgement and discretion, with low stakes. We recommend it for those who like to take risks for the sake of the game.