04/06/2024, 02:15 Central European Time, Argentine Primera Division
Analysis:
Estudiantes and Godoy Cruz meet in the 4th round of Primera División. Based on the form and statistics of both teams, we analyse the expected results and look for correlations between player performances and expected starting line-ups.
Estudiantes Statistics and Players
Estudiantes have won two of their last three games and lost one. Based on their performance so far, the following conclusions can be drawn:
- Estudiantes score an average of 1.33 goals per game, while the defence concedes 0.67.
- The team’s top scorers are Javier Marcelo Correa and Edwin Cetré, who have scored one goal each this season.
- Their defence is solid, especially with goalkeeper Matías Mansilla’s 75% save efficiency.
- The team xG (expected goals) is 3.6, while the xG received is 2.5, which is a positive balance.
Key players:
- Santiago Ascacíbar: Played well in midfield with 232 touches and 129 successful passes.
- Eros Mancuso: A solid performance in both defence and attack, with 198 touches and 5 SCAs to show for his efficiency.
- Matías Mansilla: As a goalkeeper, two goals and 6 saves prove his reliability.
Godoy Cruz Statistics and Players
Godoy Cruz’s current form is mixed, with two draws and a defeat. Based on their statistics, the following conclusions can be drawn:
- They have an average goalscoring average of 0.50, while defensively they concede 0.50 goals per game.
- Their xG is 2.6, which indicates that they scored fewer goals than expected.
- The xGA indicator is 1.0, which shows good defensive performance.
Key players:
- Thomas Galdames: He is performing well as a defensive midfielder, with 80 successful passes and 11 goal-scoring chances to show for his influence.
- Silvio Ulariaga: As an attacker, he had the most shots (7), although he did not score.
- Pier Barrios: Brings stability in defence, 75 successful passes and good defensive indicators.
Expert Opinions and Contexts
According to the article analysed, Estudiantes are highly motivated as they are playing at home and their aim is to stay top of the table. Godoy Cruz’s team is struggling away from home, which will be an additional difficulty for them. The analysis highlights that Estudiantes’ defence is solid and they are capable of controlling the game in midfield.
Low and Medium Risk Betting Tips:
- Estudiantes win or draw (Low risk):
- Estudiantes are strong at home and have won two of their last three games. Their defence is solid and their attacking play is more effective than that of Godoy Cruz.
- Goals below 3.5 (Low risk):
- Both teams have low goal scoring rates. Estudiantes score an average of 1.33 goals, while Godoy Cruz only 0.50. Based on the xG indicators, the match is expected to be a low-scoring affair.
Summary
Estudiantes are in stronger form and playing at home gives them an advantage. Based on the statistics and expert analysis, a win for Estudiantes is likely, with a low-scoring game. The betting tips are low to medium risk, considering the form of the teams and the performance of the players.