Czech Republic – Turkey

European Championship, June 26, 2024

Based on the statistical analysis of the match between the Czech Republic and Turkey, some conclusions can be drawn regarding the chances of both teams.

Analysis of the Czech Republic

Goals and Attacking Statistics:

  • Patrik Schick and Lukáš Provod are the most dangerous attackers for the Czech team, each having scored one goal in the tournament so far.
  • The Czech team’s xG (expected goals) is 3.4, indicating they can create opportunities, but their 2 goals scored fall slightly short of expectations.
  • Attacking players like Adam Hložek and Václav Černý have had significant attempts on goal, but their scoring efficiency is not yet at the expected level.

Defensive Statistics:

  • The Czech defense has conceded 3 goals, which matches the opponents’ expected goals (xGA 3.0).
  • In defense, Tomáš Souček and Tomáš Holeš are the most active, with many successful tackles and interventions.

Key Players:

  • Tomáš Souček’s defensive work and passing in midfield are crucial.
  • Patrik Schick’s attacking potential and goal-scoring ability will be important for the Czech team.

Analysis of Turkey

Goals and Attacking Statistics:

  • Turkey has scored 3 goals, with an xG (expected goals) of 3.7, showing they capitalize well on their opportunities.
  • Kerem Aktürkoğlu and Arda Güler are the team’s top scorers, each with one goal.

Defensive Statistics:

  • The Turkish team has conceded 4 goals, slightly worse than the opponents’ xGA (expected goals against) of 3.2.
  • Ferdi Kadioglu and Abdülkerim Bardakcı perform significant defensive work, with many successful tackles and interventions.

Key Players:

  • Hakan Çalhanoğlu controls the game in midfield with many successful passes and key passes.
  • Ferdi Kadioglu plays an active role in both defense and attack, with significant progressive passes.

Summary and Predictions

Low-Risk Tips:

  1. Over 1.5 goals in the match (low risk): Based on previous matches, both teams have been involved in high-scoring games, and statistics support their attacking potential.
  2. Over 7.5 corners in the match (medium risk): Both teams tend to lead many attacks, which can result in numerous corners.

Medium-Risk Tips:

  1. Over 3.5 yellow cards in the match (medium risk): Both teams play hard, which could result in several yellow cards.

Analysis and Observations

  • The Czech team is more defensively oriented, but Patrik Schick’s presence always poses a threat in front of goal.
  • The Turkish team is attack-minded, but their defense is vulnerable, as shown by the 4 goals conceded.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as progression is at stake, promising an intense and open match.
  • Experts believe that while both teams have weaknesses, their strengths could balance the match.

Based on this analysis, I believe the outcome of the match is uncertain, but the goal-scoring opportunities and the number of corners provide a more solid basis for betting.

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