Based on their current form and performance, Clermont and Lyon show marked differences, which provides an important aspect to predict the outcome of the match. Based on Clermont’s stats, the team is struggling this season as they have only 5 wins, 10 draws and 17 defeats. In contrast, Lyon have scored 45 goals and conceded 30, a significant improvement on Clermont’s 26 goals scored and 54 conceded.
Clermont typically have low xG (expected number of goals) values, suggesting that they create few scoring opportunities, while Lyon’s higher xG values show that they are more efficient in taking advantage of their positions. Clermont’s goalkeepers have a low save percentage of 76%, compared to Lyon’s 83.3% efficiency, further confirming that Lyon’s defensive and attacking indicators are better.
Lyon’s scoring prowess, with Alexandre Lacazette leading the way with 17 goals, also surpasses Clermont’s top scorer Muhammed Cham’s 8 goals. Consequently, Lyon’s attacking power looks more dangerous on paper.
As Clermont hasn’t been outstanding as hosts and Lyon has been able to score away from home, the “Lyon win or draw” betting option seems to be a relatively low risk. As for the number of goals, based on Lyon’s strong attacking play and Clermont’s weak defence, a ‘more than 1.5 goals’ bet could be justified, given Lyon’s previous high scoring games and Clermont’s frequent defensive mistakes.
Overall, given the stats and the current form of the teams, a ‘Lyon win or draw’ and ‘more than 1.5 goals’ combination is recommended with low risk . These bets are confirmed by the season trends shown by both teams, as well as by comparing the performance of individual players, such as the difference between Lacazette and Cham.