13/05/2024
Analysis based on Barcelona and Real Sociedad statistics
In my preliminary analysis of the match between Barcelona and Real Sociedad, I paid particular attention to the current form of the teams, their recent performances and the individual statistics of the players. Barcelona’s current season in La Liga shows a significant number of goals and efficient attacking play, while Real Sociedad is known for its solid defence and counter-attacking efficiency.
Barcelona Performance:
- Several key players in Barcelona’s squad stand out, such as Robert Lewandowski, who has scored 17 goals and has outstanding xG (expected goals) figures. Lewandowski’s goals have a significant impact on the team’s attacking power.
- The team’s attacks are typically high in ball possession and use a wide passing game, which is reflected in high positional attacks and situations created (SCA and GCA values).
Real Sociedad Performance:
- For Real Sociedad, Takefusa Kubo and Mikel Oyarzabal stand out, both with high xG and xAG (expected assists) values. Kubo has scored 7 goals and plays an important role in organising the team’s attack.
- The team’s defence is solid and they score few goals, which is reflected in the goalkeeping performance of team captain Álex Remiro. His high save percentage (Save%) is a major contributor to the team’s low goals conceded.
Risk Management and Betting Tips:
- Goalscoring (Under/Over): with Barcelona’s high attacking potential and Real Sociedad’s strong defence, a low-scoring game is expected. I recommend Under 3.5 goals, which seems like a low-risk bet.
- Barcelona win or draw: Barcelona are stronger at home, but Real Sociedad’s defensive statistics may offset their home advantage. A draw or a close Barcelona win is expected, so this could be a low-risk bet.
- Number of yellow cards: given the aggressive style of both teams and the stakes of the match, more yellow cards are expected. An Over 3.5 yellow card is also a low risk bet.
Summary:
These analyses and picks take into account both statistical data and human analysis, based on which I expect a balanced but more defensive oriented match, where teams will be careful not to score easy goals. The form of the key players and the tactical preparedness of the teams will be decisive factors in the outcome of the match.