Germany – Greece

07/06/2024, friendly match

Match Analysis

Introduction

The friendly between Germany and Greece promises to be an exciting clash, especially as the last preparation match before the European Championship. Both teams come to the match with different motivations and forms, which we will examine in detail based on statistical data and analysis by human experts.

Germany Statistical Data

Formation and player performance:

  • Goals and assists: Niclas Füllkrug leads the team in goals under Nagelsmann, scoring four goals in six games. Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala have also produced outstanding attacking midfield performances.
  • Defence: Antonio Rüdiger and Jonathan Tah form a solid defensive pairing. Goalkeepers Marc-André ter Stegen and Manuel Neuer are in good form, both finishing their games without a goal.
  • Ball possession and attacks: Germany have dominated possession in recent matches, but their shooting accuracy needs to improve, as the recent goalless draw against Ukraine shows.

Injuries and recurrences:

  • Key players returning include Toni Kroos, Antonio Rüdiger and Niclas Füllkrug, all fresh from the Champions League final.

Greece Statistical Data

Formation and player performance:

  • Goals and assists: Giorgos Masouras and Anastasios Bakasetas were outstanding as the team’s key attackers, with Masouras scoring five goals and two assists and Bakasetas four goals and two assists.
  • Defence: Konstantinos Mavropanos and Pantelis Hatzidiakos are the strengths of the defence, although the team’s defence has shown some weaknesses at times, especially against France and the Netherlands.
  • Goalkeeping: Odisseas Vlachodimos is a reliable goalkeeper, with a save percentage of 81.8% in qualifying matches.

Injuries and absentees:

  • Kostas Tsimikas and George Baldock, two key defenders, will be missing, which could have a significant impact on the team’s defence.

Key Points and Analysis

1. Germany’s offensive power

Germany’s attacking potential is strong, especially with returning players. Niclas Füllkrug’s goal threat and Florian Wirtz’s creativity could be key. Greece’s defence, although solid, will be incomplete without the two key players, which will give the German attackers an opportunity.

2. Defence stability

Germany’s defence is also solid, especially with the return of Rüdiger. Greece’s attack is strong, but if Germany can dominate possession and keep the Greek attackers under pressure, they will give them fewer chances to score.

3. Motivation and form

Greece’s motivation may be less strong as they try to rebuild with a new coach after their recent qualification failure. For Germany, on the other hand, this is their final test before the European Championships, so they will come into the tournament with a strong line-up and motivation.

Low and Medium Risk Betting Tips

1. Germany wins (low risk)

Germany have a stronger squad, on home soil and in better form, especially with returning players. Human experts predict the same, considering Greece’s missing key players.

2. More than 1.5 goals per match (low risk), more than 2.5 goals per match (medium risk)

Germany’s attacking potential and Greece’s defensive deficiencies mean that more goals are likely to be scored. Furthermore, the statistics of the German team suggest that they tend to score a lot of goals, especially in friendly matches.

3. Niclas Füllkrug scores (medium risk)

Füllkrug is one of the best goal scorers in the German team and is likely to start on his return. Based on his statistics and form, he has a good chance of scoring in the Greek goal.

Summary

Based on the data and human analysis, Germany are more likely to win the match, especially with their strong attacking line and solid defence. The shortcomings and motivational issues of the Greek team further boost Germany’s chances. When betting, it is worth focusing on the low to medium risk picks mentioned above.

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