03/05/2024
Based on my analysis of the preliminary statistical and expert analysis of the match between Lens and Lorient, it seems that Lens are in stronger form, especially from an attacking point of view. Lorient’s defensive problems and low xG (expected goals) are a concern for the team, while Lens are better in this area.
Analytical criteria
The analysis is focused on the upcoming match between Lens and Lorient, taking into account the performance, players, form and statistics of both teams in Ligue 1 this season.
Lens’ statistical and tactical profile: the Lens team has had a varied performance this season. Their overall goal average and defensive work is quite solid, with 40 goals scored and 34 goals conceded. Elye Wahi stands out with 7 goals, and Florian Sotoca is another important player with 7 goals and 5 assists. The team’s xG (expected goals scored) is 46.2, which is higher than the number of goals actually scored, so they could be playing more efficiently in general. The midfield is strong and the xG and defensive indicators support this. They are generally stronger at home to Lens, which is enhanced by the home crowd.
Statistical and tactical profile of Lorient: Lorient, on the other hand, are a team with a poor performance, scoring 35 goals and conceding 60 during the season, which indicates significant defensive weaknesses. The team’s xG is 30.9, which is lower than the actual goals scored, this could suggest that the team has overperformed compared to expectations or relied on outstanding individual performances. Important players such as Eli Junior Kroupi and Muhamad Bamba could lead the attacks, but the team’s defensive statistics are a cause for concern.
Conclusion and betting tips: based on analysis, Lens has home advantage, which is supported by statistics. Based on the analysis, the betting tips are as follows:
Betting tips
- Low risk: number of goals below 3.5. Lens defend well, and although they are strong offensively, Lorient’s slower style of play and less efficient attack is likely to result in fewer goals.
- Low risk: Lens win or draw . Given Lens’ solid form and Lorient’s poor performance, this bet could be justified.
Summary
The clash between Lens and Lorient will be an excellent opportunity for Lens to exploit their attacking strength and solid defence. Based on statistics and expert analysis, Lens have the advantage and will probably be able to score in this encounter.