21/03/2024
Based on the statistics and analysts’ opinions, we can expect a difficult balanced match between Israel and Iceland in the Euro 2024 qualifying playoff. Both teams have strengths and weaknesses, but we will try to make a prediction based on statistics and the current form of the teams.
The statistics of the Israeli team show that they are strong in possession (58.4%) and passing accuracy (83.5%), which suggests that they are able to control the flow of the game and play accurately. On the other hand, Iceland prefers to build on fast, counterattacks, which is also reflected in their 1.7 goal average. The Icelandic team has less possession (51.2%) and lower passing accuracy (78.1%), but they scored more goals, which shows their efficiency.
Defensively, Israel conceded fewer goals (11 goals in 10 games) than Iceland (16 goals in 10 games), indicating that their defense is more stable. Both teams have deficiencies in the defensive line, but Israel is stronger here as they have conceded fewer goals and won more possessions (364 vs Iceland 334).
According to the offensive statistics, Israel scored less goals (11 vs Iceland 17), but it is noteworthy that their goals are well distributed within the field of play and they scored from different positions. Iceland, on the other hand, scored more goals, especially from inside the box, suggesting that they are more dangerous in the attacking third.
Based on analyst opinions and team news, Israel will be missing winger Manor Solomon, which could noticeably affect their offensive game. On the other hand, the absence of Gylfi Sigurdsson can be felt in Iceland, even though his place will be taken by young talents who have already proven themselves on the international scene.
Considering the analysis, statistics and the current state of the teams, Israel seems to be a slight favorite in this matchup due to their better possession ability and more stable defense. However, Iceland’s attacking prowess and their experience on the international stage should not be underestimated.
1) Based on my prediction, I expect Israel to win or draw in regular time and expect a close match. Their stronger possession ability and more stable defense could give them the edge they need to win.
2) Regarding the number of goals, based on the analyzes and statistics, it is likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match. Both teams have the ability to score, and while Israel’s defense is more solid, Iceland’s attacking prowess should not be underestimated. Based on their previous meetings and the current form of the teams, it can be concluded that they will be able to score more than one goal during the match.
Previous matches between Israel and Iceland also show that they are capable of scoring goals against each other and considering Iceland’s average goals in recent matches (1.7 goals/match) and Israel’s home advantage – even if this match is a neutral one will also be held on site – both teams have the potential to score goals. Israel’s defense, although more stable, can face Iceland’s effective attacking game, which according to statistics can score more goals.
Furthermore, the importance of the match – for a place in the playoff final and a step closer to qualifying for Euro 2024 – could increase the attacking intent and risk-taking on both sides. This can be especially true if the match is close to the tip without a clear leader in the match, which can open up the game and lead to more scoring opportunities.
Overall, taking into account team statistics, analyst opinions, team news, and tactical settings, I expect Israel to win in a tight but high-scoring match where more than 1.5 goals are expected. However, this prediction is not recommended for betting due to the close match and the many uncertain factors regarding the outcome.