14th March, 2024
Attention! The accuracy of predictions for knockout stage rematches – including this prediction – is generally lower, around 65-70% instead of the usual 90%. Therefore, for those who prioritize safety with typical prediction accuracy, we recommend betting on weekend matches in national leagues as usual.
1) Expected Winner and Reason
When analyzing the Europa League match between Liverpool and Sparta Prague, Liverpool emerges as the favorite, considering their 5-1 victory in the first leg and statistical data. Liverpool has a significant advantage in terms of goals scored (22 against Sparta’s 16), possession (63.86% vs. 49%), and passing accuracy (86.86% vs. 78.78%). These data, combined with expert opinion highlighting Liverpool’s strong defense and attacking power, suggest Liverpool will win.
2) Expected Number of Goals
Based on the first match, where a total of six goals were scored, and considering the current statistics of both teams, it is likely that the return leg will also see several goals. Liverpool averages more than 3 goals per match, while Sparta Prague has been able to average more than 1.5 goals. Therefore, 3-4 goals are expected in the match.
3) More or Less Than 1.5 Goals?
Given both teams’ attacking capabilities and Liverpool’s outstanding form, it is likely that the match will see more than 1.5 goals. Liverpool is particularly strong at home, and Sparta Prague’s defensive shortcomings – as highlighted in the expert analysis – further increase the expected number of goals.
Summary
Liverpool is favored in their Europa League match against Sparta Prague, primarily due to their attacking strength, statistical superiority, and significant victory in the first leg. Considering the current form of the teams and expert analyses, Liverpool is expected to advance to the next round, securing their victory in the return leg with more than 1.5 goals.