Albania – Spain

European Championship, June 24, 2024

Introduction

The European Championship match between Albania and Spain can be evaluated based on numerous statistical data and expert analysis. Examining statistics and expert opinions together can help better understand the performance, trends, and possible outcomes of the teams. Below, we will analyze in detail the statistics of both teams and the insights of the experts.

Statistical Analysis of Albania

Performance and Players

Albania has had mixed results in their matches so far. In their two group matches, they recorded a draw (2-2 against Croatia) and a loss (1-2 against Italy). In these matches, Albania scored a total of 3 goals and conceded 4.

• Top Players: Qazim Laçi and Nedim Bajrami both scored 1 goal each. Bajrami also recorded an assist.
• Defense: The Albanian defense appears vulnerable, especially considering they conceded 4 goals in 2 matches. Goalkeeper Thomas Strakosha produced a 71.4% save rate, which indicates a moderate performance.

Attacking Play and xG (Expected Goals)

Albania’s xG (expected goals) is 2.0, suggesting that the team had realistic chances to score two goals in the matches so far. However, their opponents’ xG is 4.2, indicating that the opponents had more opportunities to score.

Player Performances

• Kristjan Asllani: Stood out from the midfield with 2.00 shots and 1.00 shots on target per match.
• Elseid Hysaj: Delivered strong defensive performance with 5 progressive passes and 3 interceptions.

Statistical Analysis of Spain

Performance and Players

Spain dominated their matches so far, winning both against Croatia (3-0) and Italy (1-0).

• Top Players: Álvaro Morata and Dani Carvajal each scored 1 goal. Lamine Yamal and Fabián Ruiz contributed with assists.
• Defense: Spain’s defense has been nearly flawless, with no goals conceded in the two matches. Goalkeeper Unai Simón produced a 100% save rate.

Attacking Play and xG

Spain’s xG is 4.0, indicating they had realistic chances to score four goals. The opponents’ xG is only 1.5, demonstrating the strength of the Spanish defense.

Player Performances

• Rodri: Delivered outstanding performance in the midfield with a 93.8% pass accuracy and 10 progressive passes.
• Nico Williams: Showcased spectacular attacking play with 5.00 attacking actions per match.

Analysis and Forecast

Motivation and Strategic Factors

Experts suggest that Albania might be motivated, as they still have a chance to advance. However, the dominance and stable defense of the Spanish team make their task challenging. Spain aims to maintain the top position in the group, which also serves as strong motivation.

Safe Betting Suggestions

1. Spain’s victory: (Low risk): Based on the Spanish team’s performance and defense, they are likely to win the match.
2. Albania less than 1.5 goals: (Low risk) (Less than 0.5 goals, Medium risk): Spain has not conceded a goal in their matches, and Albania’s attack has not been very effective.
3. Less than 3.5 goals: (Low risk): Given the strength of the Spanish defense and the relative efficiency of Albanian attacks, a low-scoring match is expected.
4. Spain more than 4.5 corners: (Low risk): Spain dominates in attacks and often forces opponents into corners.
5. Both teams to receive yellow cards (Medium risk): Both Albania and Spain have received yellow cards in the tournament, making it likely that players from both teams will receive warnings.

Summary

Based on the combined analysis of statistical data and expert evaluations, Spain’s dominance and strong defense make a Spanish victory the safest bet. The Albanian team will fight, but they are unlikely to break through the Spanish defense, making low Albanian goals and a clean Spanish sheet likely outcomes.