Slovenia – Serbia

European Championship, June 20, 2024

Detailed Analysis and Betting Tips

Statistical Overview and Analysis

Based on the performance and statistical data of the two teams participating in the match, Slovenia and Serbia, I conduct a thorough analysis to determine the most reliable betting tips.

Slovenia Statistical Overview

Slovenia has had mixed results in recent matches, but there are some standout performances:

• Benjamin Šeško and Andraž Šporar are their top scorers, with 6 and 5 goals. Both players can play crucial roles in the attacks.
• Jan Oblak is excellent in goalkeeping, with 41.7% of his matches being clean sheets and a 76.7% save efficiency.
• Their xG (expected goals) metric ranges between 1.1 and 1.7, indicating varying attack efficiency.

Serbia Statistical Overview

Serbia has also shown mixed performances, but several of their attacking players excel:

• Aleksandar Mitrović and Dušan Vlahović are the main goal scorers, with 6 and 3 goals, both being very dangerous in front of the goal.
• Dušan Tadić and Filip Mladenović contribute significantly to creating scoring opportunities, with multiple assists.
• Their xG metric is also mixed, but Mitrović and Vlahović’s metrics stand out.

Player Comparison

Both teams have absences and injuries that may affect performance:

• Slovenia has a strong defense, especially with Oblak as the goalkeeper.
• Serbia’s attackers are in excellent form, but their defense can be vulnerable at times.

Motivation and Context

Human analysis suggests that both teams are motivated, but Serbia may be under more pressure to improve their previous results. This could increase the intensity of the match and the number of yellow cards.

Betting Tips and Risk Categories

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Number of yellow cards more than 3.5 – Based on recent matches, both teams have shown aggressive play, increasing the number of yellow cards. (Low risk)
2. Number of corners more than 8.5 – Both teams launch many attacks, leading to corners. (Low risk)

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. Aleksandar Mitrović to score – Based on Mitrović’s current form and scoring statistics, it’s likely he will score. (Medium risk)
2. Both teams to score – Given both teams’ attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses, it’s likely that both teams will score. (Medium risk)

Detailed Explanation

1. Number of yellow cards more than 3.5: Human analysis indicates that both teams are aggressive and motivated. Such matches often feature tough tackles and disputed situations, increasing the number of yellow cards. Recent matches also show this trend.
2. Number of corners more than 8.5: Both teams lead many attacks, resulting in corners. Slovenia and Serbia play with an attacking mindset, and based on xG metrics, they create many opportunities, increasing the likelihood of corners.
3. Aleksandar Mitrović to score: Mitrović is one of the most effective players in the Serbian team, and based on his current form, he is very likely to score. Statistically, he has shown strong performance in scoring goals.

In summary, the match forecast includes low and medium-risk betting tips, considering the statistical data of both teams and the context of human analysis. These tips are well-founded and based on statistical trends, thereby reducing betting risk.