22/05/2024, Europa League final
The clash between Atalanta and Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League final promises to be extremely exciting, as both teams are in excellent form. In the following analysis, I will thoroughly review the statistical data and expert analyses of both teams to uncover the most important correlations and trends.
Atalanta BC Statistical Data
Team Performance:
- Atalanta scored 22 goals and provided 13 assists in 12 matches, contributing to 35 goals.
- The team conceded 8 goals, averaging 0.67 goals per match.
- Atalanta averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per match.
Player Performance:
- Gianluca Scamacca delivered an outstanding performance with 6 goals and 4.2 xG.
- Ademola Lookman and Charles De Ketelaere each contributed to 4 goals, with Lookman also providing several creative passes.
- Goalkeeper Juan Musso has a save efficiency of 84.4%, which could be crucial in the final.
Playing Style and Tactics:
- Atalanta dominates possession and passing play, especially in midfield (e.g., Koopmeiners, de Roon).
- The team favors attacks on the flanks, supported by Lookman and Zappacosta.
Bayer Leverkusen Statistical Data
Team Performance:
- Leverkusen scored 29 goals and provided 25 assists, contributing to 54 goals.
- The team conceded 10 goals, averaging 0.83 goals per match.
- Leverkusen averaged 2.42 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per match.
Player Performance:
- Victor Boniface and Patrik Schick delivered outstanding performances with 5 goals each.
- Florian Wirtz also played a key role, contributing to 8 goals.
- Goalkeeper Matej Kovar has a save efficiency of 70%, which could also be crucial.
Playing Style and Tactics:
- Leverkusen employs fast attacks and pressing, with key roles played by fullbacks and midfielders (e.g., Grimaldo, Frimpong).
- The team is strong in possession and counter-attacks.
Player Comparison and Possible Lineups
Expected Atalanta Lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Musso
- Defenders: Djimsiti, Tolói, Scalvini
- Midfielders: de Roon, Koopmeiners, Zappacosta, Ruggeri
- Forwards: Lookman, Scamacca, De Ketelaere
Expected Leverkusen Lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Kovar
- Defenders: Tapsoba, Tah, Hincapié
- Midfielders: Xhaka, Grimaldo, Stanišić, Andrich
- Forwards: Wirtz, Boniface, Schick
Low and Medium Risk Betting Tips
- Goals in both halves:
- Both Atalanta and Leverkusen have strong attacking units and tend to score goals in both halves. Low risk.
- Both teams to score:
- Both teams have exceptional attacking play, and their defenses are not entirely impregnable. Low risk.
- Total goals over 2.5:
- Based on statistics, both teams are goal-sensitive, and it’s likely that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match. Medium risk.
- Scamacca or Schick to score:
- Both players are prolific scorers and are in excellent form. Medium risk.
- Atalanta to concede less than 3 goals:
- Atalanta’s defense is strong, and goalkeeper Musso is in good form. Low risk.
Interesting Facts from Expert Analyses
- Atalanta’s defense is particularly strong towards the end of matches, while Leverkusen tends to score more goals in the first half.
- One of Leverkusen’s strengths is quick counter-attacks, particularly supported by Wirtz and Frimpong, which could challenge Atalanta’s defense.
- Both teams are motivated, as winning the final would bring European success and international recognition.
In summary, the match promises to be very close, with both teams having strong attacking play and solid defense. For betting, it is advisable to focus on attacking players and goals, as these are the most reliable betting options.