05/05/2024
When analysing Sevilla’s current form and statistics, it is notable that the team has averaged higher xG values than goals actually scored so far this season, which may suggest that they have created more chances than they have scored. Sevilla’s most notable player is Youssef En-Nesyri, who has scored 12 goals in 23.7 90-minute spells, which is significantly higher than his average xG would indicate. This suggests that En-Nesyri has been highly effective in converting his chances.
Based on their defensive statistics, Sergio Ramos and other key players such as Loïc Bade and Marcos Acuña have been solid performers, although the number of goals scored by the team exceeds the xGA (expected goals scored) indicator, which indicates defensive weaknesses.
Their opponents, Granada, have been less efficient this season. Based on their statistics, they have lower xG values, which means fewer situations created. In addition, Granada’s defence seems to be weaker as they have conceded more goals than statistically expected (high xGA).
Considering the form and statistics of the players, and comparing the performance of the two teams so far, I would recommend the following betting tips as low-risk options:
- Goals scored – Less than 3.5: Low scoring games have been common in Sevilla and Granada matches, especially for Granada, where the defence is a priority. In addition, both teams have had problems scoring goals against expectations.
- Draw or win for Sevilla: Given Sevilla’s more solid form and higher xG and Granada’s weaker defensive statistics, this bet has a good chance of being successful. Based on the analysis, Sevilla should be able to win or at least get a draw.
I consider these picks to be low risk as they reflect the current form and statistical performance of the teams.